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Summer 2020 has shown conflicting economic signals.  The S&P 500 is at an all time high as have both unemployment and bank loan loss reserves.  Commercial real estate has seen origination volume drop drastically and the bucket of loan maturities in need of financing is growing. Decreases in new mortgage volume from banks and insurance […]

It is going to be a sellers’ market. Banks are currently preparing to sell their Non-Performing-Loans (NPLs) dealing with questions like when and where to sell. Based on the 2008 experience, the answer to the when question is really simple. The Longer You Wait the Deeper is the Discount. And as to the where question.Banks […]

In the early stages of COVID-19 many banks were focused on a short to medium term downturn, triaging only the most affected / impacted sectors.  Then the PPP program came and went, effectively buying time for many businesses and allowing the clock to be “reset”. As little progress has been made containing COVID-19, the realization is starting […]

The crisis we are experiencing presents a major dilemma for banks. Many of their borrowers are facing difficulties in paying their loans on time. These borrowers are asking banks for forbearance on current due payments. Given the government 90 days forbearance programs, banks routinely grant such requests. Absent the government programs, such forbearance will lead […]

The year 2020 started off strong followed by a roller coaster of economic events in Q1 and Q2.  A pandemic left offices, hotels, malls and streets vacant as America stayed home. Unemployment reached unprecedented highs. The economy slowed but didn’t stop with the aid of government stimulus. The stock market experienced volatility, though generally showed buoyancy. Overall, companies have […]